Research
PUBLICATIONS:
The Drug Crisis and the Living Arrangements of Children, with Bill Evans and Ethan Lieber. Forthcoming, Journal of Health Economics. Click here for NBER working paper, w27633.
The Great Recession's Baby-less Recovery: The Role of Unintended Births , with Melanie Guldi and Lucie Schmidt. Forthcoming, Journal of Human Resources. Previously circulated as "Fertility Trends in the United States, 1980-2017: The Role of Unintended Births." Click here for NBER working paper, w25521. Replication data and code are available in this OpenICPSR repository.
Combining Family History and Machine Learning to Link Historical Records: The Census Tree Data Set, with Joseph Price, Jacob Van Leeuwen, and Isaac Riley. Explorations in Economic History. 80, 101391, 2021. Click here for NBER working paper, w26227, and here for pre-print version. Replication data and code are available here, and FAQ for the Census Tree project can be found here. The links among the 1900-1920 censuses can be found in this OpenICPSR repository and also on the Census Linking Project website.
Is Fertility a Leading Economic Indicator?, with Dan Hungerman and Steven Lugauer. The Economic Journal, 131(634): 541-565. 2021. Click here for NBER working paper, w24355.
Fixing the Leaky Pipeline: Strategies for Making Economics Work for Women at Every Stage. The Journal of Economic Perspectives. 33(1): 43-60. 2019.
The Incidental Fertility Effects of School Condom Distribution Programs, with Dan Hungerman. Journal of Policy Analysis and Management. 37(3): 464-492, Summer 2018. Click here for NBER working paper version, w22322.
Maternal Socio-Economic Status and the Well-Being of the Next Generation(s). The Oxford Handbook of Women and the Economy, ed. Susan L. Averett, Laura M. Argys, and Saul D. Hoffman. New York: Oxford University Press. 2018. Also available as IZA working paper #10714.
Worth the Wait? The Effect of Early Term Birth on Maternal and Infant Health, with Melanie Guldi. Journal of Policy Analysis and Management. 36(4): 748-772. Fall 2017. Click here for IZA working paper version, #10082.
The Effect of College Education on Mortality, with Andreas Hagemann, Ofer Malamud, Melinda Morrill, and Abigail Wozniak. Journal of Health Economics. 50: 99-114. December 2016. Formerly "The Effect of College Education on Health," NBER working paper No. w19222 and IZA working paper #6659.
Prenatal Investments, Breastfeeding, and Birth Order. With Shawna Kolka. Social Science & Medicine. 118: 66-70. October 2014.
Adoption Subsidies and Placement Outcomes for Children in Foster Care. The Journal of Human Resources. 48(3): 596-627. Summer 2013.
Selection and the Marriage Premium for Infant Health, with Joseph Price. Demography. 50(4): 1315-1339. August 2013.
Season of Birth and Later Outcomes: Old Questions, New Answers, with Dan Hungerman. The Review of Economics and Statistics. 95(3): 711-724. July 2013. Click here for NBER Working Paper version.
Infertility Insurance Mandates and Multiple Births. Health Economics. 22(7): 775-789. July 2013.
Birth Spacing and Sibling Outcomes, with Elizabeth Munnich. The Journal of Human Resources. 47(3). Summer 2012. Data and programs for all results in the paper are posted here.
Changing the Price of Marriage: Evidence from Blood Test Requirements, with Melanie Guldi and Joseph Price. The Journal of Human Resources, 46(3): 539-567. Summer 2011. Data and programs for all results in the paper are posted here.
Understanding the Returns to Delayed Childbearing for Working Women. American Economic Review Papers and Proceedings 98 (2): 403-407. May 2008.
Geographic Variation in the Appropriate Use of Cesarean Delivery. Joint with Katherine Baicker and Amitabh Chandra. Health Affairs 25 (5): w355-w367; August 8, 2006.
WORKING PAPERS:
Family Trees and Falling Apples: Historical Intergenerational Mobility Estimates for Women and Men, with Joseph Price, Zach Ward, and Haley Wilbert. Under review. Available as NBER Working Paper #31918.
Breakthroughs in Historical Record Linking Using Genealogy Data: The Census Tree Project, with Adrian Haws, Joseph Price, and Haley Wilbert. Under review. Available as NBER Working Paper #31671.
Public Health Interventions and Mortality during the 1918 Influenza Pandemic: Evidence from Digitized Death Certificates, with Carver Coleman and Joseph Price.
The Long-Run Effects of Childhood Exposure to Prohibition: Evidence from County-Level Policies, with Joseph Price.
Stopping the Biological Clock: Infertility Treatments and the Career-Family Tradeoff.